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The Challenge
A sector's budget had lost credibility: approved allocations bore little relation to actual releases and spending, undermining planning and eroding trust between the sector and the finance ministry.
Turning an unfunded aspiration into a government-owned financing plan with explicit budget commitments.
A sector's budget had lost credibility: approved allocations bore little relation to actual releases and spending, undermining planning and eroding trust between the sector and the finance ministry.
NXA conducted a budget credibility analysis across several financial years, tracing the gap between approved, released, and spent funds and diagnosing where and why credibility broke down. We identified the specific points in the budget cycle that drove the deviations.
The credibility gap was concentrated in a few predictable points — late releases and in-year reallocations — that could be addressed through specific PFM process reforms, rather than requiring wholesale system change.
A budget credibility diagnostic with targeted, sequenced PFM reform recommendations and a monitoring framework to track improvement.
The sector and finance ministry gained a shared diagnosis and a practical reform agenda — the foundation for restoring a credible, executable budget.
"The sector and finance ministry gained a shared diagnosis and a practical reform agenda — the foundation for restoring a credible, executable budget."